Spoiling the Party

July 10, 2013
Posted by Jay Livingston

The World Meteorological Association included this graph in its report on Global Warming.  Using decades shows the general trend more clearly than would a graph showing year-to-year variation.*

Needless to say, those who scoff at the idea of climate change added their discordant notes at sites like WaPo’s Wonkblog, which is where I found this graph.

Dan Savage – not a climate scientist – in a recent podcast talks of listening to a “This American Life” episode where state climatologists in conservative states say they are afraid to even use words like warming or climate change because the local ranchers and farmers, who just do not want to hear that idea, might force them out of their jobs. It’s happened. This reaction reminds Savage of the AIDS denial by some gays thirty years ago. 

Standing around gay bars in Chicago, in New York, in 1983, 1984 and listening to gay men who were in complete denial about the fact that AIDS was a sexually transmited infection.  They refused to believe it.

The people whose lives are the most likely to be ravaged are the loudest voices in the chorus of denial. 

Of course, the farmers and ranchers are not alone. Big Energy has also worked hard to push the idea that nothing’s happening.  AIDS denial and climate-change denial are examples of “motivated reasoning,” and the motivation in both cases is the same: if the science is correct, we’ll have to stop partying. 

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* The lack of a 0-point on the Y-axis suggests that this is a sort of “gee whiz” graph, rigged to make small differences appear large.  But with global temperatures a change of one degree Celsius is a big deal. 

The Mysteries of Pittsburgh

July 9, 2013
Posted by Jay Livingston

In 2010, the Pittsburgh Pirates won 57 games and lost 105. That .352 was the worst in major league baseball.  As we speak, they are at .602.  But for last night’s 1-0 loss to Oakland, they would be tied with St. Louis for the best record in baseball. 

What caused the turnaround?  Socialism and planning. 

The socialism part is revenue-sharing. Teams that make a lot of money must put some their profits into a pool for the less wealthy teams.  From each according to his ability to pay and all that.  The idea is that small-market teams can use the money for larger salaries to attract better players.

The NFL’s version of revenue-sharing shares a great deal of the wealth, which is why a “dynasty” in football rarely lasts more than a couple of years.  It’s also the reason that a huge media market, Los Angeles, has not had an NFL team for nearly two decades. 

In baseball, revenue sharing is less extensive, hence the long-term domination of big-market, wealthy teams like the Yankees.  Still, some of the TV money gets distributed to the poorer teams. But according to leaked documents in 2010, it looked as if the owners of some small-market teams (notably two Florida teams, the Rays and the Marlins) were paying the money to themselves, not to their players.

The Pirates too came under suspicion since they kept to their tight-fisted payroll.  But in fact, the Pirates were using the money for development – scouting young players, signing them, and giving them a couple of years in the minor leagues. 

The result is a first-rate pitching staff (their closer, Jason Grilli, may be the next Mariano Rivera), and some pretty good hitting.  All this on a payroll that’s less than one-third of what the Yankees are paying for their currently fourth-place General Hospital team. 

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Big hat tip to Alan Barra at The Atlantic.  My Pittsburgh connections, who blame owner Robert Nutting for the Pirates’ dismal record these past few years, claim that Barra’s article is “the Nutting PR machine at work” and that we should wait to see what changes the Pirates (and the Cards and Reds) make to their roster in the second half of the season.

Pleasure - Danger or Distinction?

July 7, 2013
Posted by Jay Livingston

This 1960s poster (“L’Art de Boire” by Martin) in a neighborhood French restaurant reminded me again of the different ways of thinking about pleasure. 

(Click on an image for a larger view.)

In puritanical cultures, pleasure is a temptation to be resisted. In both the religious version, where pleasure leads to sin, and the secular version, pleasure is dangerous because it means excess and a loss of control. What is sin, after all, but too much of a good thing? The puritan approach to pleasure assumes that even one taste can crack the rigid structure of control.  If you don’t have total control, you have total lack of control. 

The hard-boiled detective story provides a classic example.  Any sex in these stories is always dangerous, usually with temptress trying to seduce the private eye away from his pursuit of justice, or worse, luring him into the hands of the bad guys, who beat him up, threaten him, or try to kill him.  Alcohol too sabotages the hero’s self-control, and he often winds up drinking too much since he’s drinking for all the wrong reasons. 

American comedies, too, may revolve around a similar theme of pleasure as an occasion for guilt and repentance (my earlier post on guilty pleasures in Judd Apatow films is here).  These films are not too far from the lite beer commercials, where pretty girls and alcohol, like the temptations of Circe, turn men into oafish creatures of swine-like mentality.*  The main difference from the noir take on this is that the audience is supposed to view this loss of control with good-natured affection.

The French, as illustrated in the poster, have a different message about pleasure. It is to be sought, not avoided. But it is not something you get just by letting your guard down or jettisoning your inhibitions. You must learn pleasure. You don’t just drink. You mindfully follow a sequence of steps – sniff the cork, note the color, inhale the aroma, taste the wine – each designed to maximize pleasure from the senses. Drinking is not an abandonment to desire, it is an art. The goal is not satiation but, as the last frame of the poster says, appreciation.

Of course, that idea of pleasure goes against the egalitarian American grain, for it implies that some pleasures are of a higher order than others, requiring greater sophistication, discernment, and distinction. 

The 1987 movie “Babette’s Feast,” set in a Danish coastal town in the 1870s,  is entirely about the contrast of these two views of pleasure. Babette, fleeing the bloody aftermath of the Paris Commune, arrives in town and finds work as a housekeeper for two elderly sisters who are members of an austere Christian sect.

The dinner of the title is the film’s climax – a sensuous multi-course meal of the finest French dishes and wines that Babette prepares for the dour sisters and others.

Hesitantly and with suspicion, they eat and drink and finally come to experience what they had been so leery of and had deliberately lived without. Nor, as the sherry and champagne and burgundy and brandy are drunk, do they fall into drunkenness or debauchery, just pleasure. 

The entire film is available on YouTube.  It’s worth watching.

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* In a TV show of some years ago, perhaps on “My So-Called Life,” a high school class is discussing the Circe episode in The Odyssey.  “Turning men into pigs,” says one girl dismissively, “Some magic.”

Mom (Hold the Apple Pie)

July 2, 2013
Posted by Jay Livingston

As we come up on the Fourth of July, it’s time to reflect on Mom and Apple Pie.  We love them both, we Americans.  The apple pie part is easy, as easy as  . . . well, never mind.  But motherhood involves two political and economic elements – child birth and child care – that seem to give us more trouble.

Conservatives in the US still insist that in all nearly matters, private enterprise is far superior to a “government takeover.” They also believe, as do most Americans, that we are unsurpassed in our love of family and children. 

It’s hard to maintain these beliefs when we compare ourselves with other wealthy countries.  They may not eat as much apple pie.  But on measures like maternity (and paternity) leave, day care, and early education, and the general well-being of the kids, they eat our lunch. 

Compared to the scope of and level of support offered by family policies of France, Germany and Italy, the US appears to have a low level of political commitment to the well-being of families, lacking even the guarantee of unpaid leave to all workers.  (Source here.)

In these family matters, we mostly leave things up to individuals and the private sector. If your employer wants to give you paid or even unpaid maternity leave, you’re in luck.  If not, too bad.  If you want child care, find it and pay for it.  Government support comes in the form of income tax breaks, which are of little use to people with low incomes. 

As for the medical side of having children, the US is number one, at least when it comes to costs.  According to the story in Monday’s New York Times, pregnant middle-class moms are in for sticker shock, though it’s not always easy to find the sticker.

When she became pregnant, Ms. Martin called her local hospital inquiring about the price of maternity care; the finance office at first said it did not know, and then gave her a range of $4,000 to $45,000. “It was unreal,” Ms. Martin said. “I was like, How could you not know this? You’re a hospital.”

The average out-of-pocket cost for women with insurance is $3,400, far higher than in other wealthy countries.  And that’s for women lucky enough to have coverage.  Many non employer health plans (62%) do not cover maternity. 

Nor are we are not getting more for our money.

And though maternity care costs far less in other developed countries than it does in the United States, studies show that their citizens do not have less access to care or to high-tech care during pregnancy than Americans.

From 2004 to 2010, the prices that insurers paid for childbirth — one of the most universal medical encounters — rose 49 percent for vaginal births and 41 percent for Caesarean sections in the United States, with average out-of-pocket costs rising fourfold.           

Two decades ago, women typically paid nothing other than a small fee if they opted for a private hospital room or television.

This is hardly ringing support for the idea that the private sector drives down costs and brings us better service at lower prices.  Maybe that’s because the private sector runs on the profit motive; the more stuff you sell, the greater the profit.

“I feel like I’m in a used-car lot,” said Ms. Martin.
 She fought for a deep discount on a $935 bill for an ultrasound, arguing that she had already paid a radiologist $256 to read the scan, which took only 20 minutes of a technician’s time using a machine that had been bought years ago. She ended up paying $655.

The online Times asked readers to contribute their own stories of childbirth in foreign lands.  Here are three shorter ones:

• I'm an American living in Canada. Total paid for each pregnancy, (one caesarean, one vaginal birth): $15. For parking at the hospital.
• One expense, Royal Hospital for Women, Paddington, New South Wales, 1985: $5 for a phone in my room.
• I gave birth in Germany where I had a voluntary C-section (which is free for women over 35). I stayed in the hospital 3 days following the birth. I had to pay 10Euro a day for each day in the hospital. Total bill for the birth 30Euro (approx. 50$) Also all prenatal tests were free of charge.

 Obamacare is hardly a government takeover – compromise with conservatives killed the modest “public option” – but some aspects of it may help decelerate of even lower the cost of giving birth.